Cooperative Extension Service
The University of
Georgia College of Agricultural and Environmental Sciences
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John C. McKissick, Extension Economist
Dan T. Brown, Extension Animal Scientist
With cow-calf operations, as with other farm enterprises, making a profit isn't the best thing - it's the only thing that will keep you in business. And how much profit you make depends largely on the market price you get for your calves.
Profitable cattle marketing means producing the most profitable calf, selling through the most profitable market outlet and pricing at the most profitable time. Unfortunately, most cow-calf producers simply sell their calves. They produce calves which may be the easiest to produce and sell at the most convenient market outlet at whatever the price is at the time.
Marketing means choices on how or what to put on the market, where to market and when to price. The first step in becoming a cattle marketer is to recognize all your alternatives and evaluate each in light of potential cost and returns, selecting the most profitable rather than the most convenient alternative.
In Georgia, as in the Southeast, feeder calves are produced and sold as lightweight feeder calves after weaning. About 70 percent of all Southeastern calves are weaned and sold during the fall. This is the major reason behind the normal seasonal price swings shown in Figure 1: Prices are normally lower during the fall and higher during the late winter and early spring.
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| Figure 1. |
There are around 30,000 cattle producers in Georgia with an average herd size of fewer than 50 head. With so many small producers, it is natural that most Georgia feeder calves are sold through local auction markets.
Calves weighing between 300 and 500 pounds will usually move into some type of forage-based stockering programs, where another 300 to 400 pounds will be added. As heavyweight feeders, between 600 and 800 pounds, they then will typically move into feedlots.
Normally, 70 to 75 percent of all U.S. beef comes from cattle fed in feedlots. Feedlots have become increasingly fewer and larger. The top three feedlot states (Texas, Nebraska and Kansas) now market 60 percent of the cattle fed in the United States.
Since most of the cattle feedlots are in the Plains States and the Corn Belt States (Figure 2), it follows that most of Georgia's feeder cattle end up in these states.
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| Figure 2. |
Figure 3 illustrates the normal movement of feeder cattle from Georgia. Large, efficient slaughter plants are in the cattle-feeding areas of the country, providing ready markets. After slaughter, beef moves back into all parts of the country to the ultimate market, the consumer.
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| Figure 3. Source: The Farm Picture, Champaign, Illinois |
The important point in the pricing system is that the consumer eventually calls the shots. The retailer wants a certain type of product because the consumer wants it. This is relayed back to the slaughterer who relays it to the feedlot, who relays it to the feeder cattle producer. The "relay" for all these messages is the price. Unfortunately, because of all the messengers in the market, the signals sometimes get mixed or muted. But usually, if we pay close enough attention, we can see them. By understanding how the beef cattle markets work, you, the feeder cattle producer will be better able to recognize changes that may make you a higher profit.
Feeder cattle prices are derived from their next market. The calves' value is based on what they are expected to be sold for, either out of the feedlot or out of a backgrounding operation, less the cost of gain. As the expected price of finished animals goes up or the cost of putting the finish on the animals goes down, feeder calf prices will increase. The weight to be added is factored in with the expected price of finished cattle. A 1,100-pound finished steer weighs 2.44 times as much as a 450-pound feeder calf and 1.57 times as much as a 700-pound yearling. Therefore, a $1-per-hundredweight increase in the expected selling price of a finished steer would cause a buyer to bid $2.44 per hundredweight more for a 450 lb feeder calf or $1.57 more for a 700-pound steer.
The cost of finishing the calf will also affect the price of the feeder. The cost of putting a pound of gain on a calf depends on feed cost, nonfeed costs such as interest, and the efficiency of the calf itself.
A feeder buying a 450-pound calf and finishing it to 1,100 pounds is putting on 650 pounds of gain or 1.44 times the original weight. Finishers buying 700-pound yearlings and finishing to 1,100 pounds are putting on 0.57 times the original weight. So each $1 change in the cost of gain will raise or lower the price finishers can pay by $1.44, for a 450-pound calf, and $0.57, for a 700-pound feeder. Table 1 shows break-even purchase prices which could be paid for a 450-pound steer given alternative fed-cattle prices and cost of gain. Of course, feeder calves produced in Georgia are likely to be transported to the feedlot states. Thus, a feedlot will also have to discount the feeder price in Georgia by the cost of transporting the calves to the feedlot.
While it is the cost and return from finished cattle which give feeders their value, it is the overall supply and demand for beef which determines fed cattle prices. Figure 4 illustrates the factors that affect fed cattle prices.
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| Figure 4. |
The variables are shown by different size squares depicting the relative importance of each. For example, fed steer and heifer slaughter contributes the most to beef supplies, followed by commercial cow slaughter, nonfed steer and heifer slaughter, beef imports and exports, and bull and stag slaughter.
On the demand side, per capita disposable income, total population and competing meats (poultry and pork) are all important factors. Other factors, such as the value of by-products and the cost of slaughter, processing and marketing (farm-to-retail margin), will also affect farm prices.
The most important determinant in the long-term supply of beef is the beef cattle cycle or the periodic increases and decreases in cattle numbers (Figure 5). When cattle production is low and prices high, cow-calf producers add to their herds. In the short run this actually reduces the supply of beef as fewer cows are sent to slaughter and heifers are retained in the herds. Eventually, however, beef supplies are increased after the cattle herd is increased. This results in a period of unprofitable calf prices and producers eventually reducing herds. The herd reduction actually causes a short-term increase in beef supplies, further reducing prices.
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| Figure 5. |
The beef cattle cycle really is a profit cycle for cow-calf producers (Figure 6). Stockers and feeders are "margin" operators and their profits are not necessarily tied to high or low price levels. Until 1979, cattle cycles had been rather predictable in their duration. It is believed a general decline in beef demand during the 1980s caused a longer string of unprofitable prices for cow-calf producers and thus a longer and more severe reduction in cattle numbers. The string of profits incurred since the late 1980s suggests the cycle may again return to historical patterns. The important lesson for the Georgia cattle producer is that there will be several years of both profitable and unprofitable prices.
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| Figure 6. |
| Figure 7. Specifications for each frame size. | |
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Large Frame (L) -- Feeder cattle in this grade are thrifty, have large frames and are tall and long-bodied for their age. Steers would not be expected to produce the amount of external fat opposite the twelfth rib -- usually about .5 inch -- normally associated with the U.S. Choice grade until their live weight exceeds 1,200 pounds. Heifers would not be expected to produce choice carcasses until their live weight exceeds 1,000 pounds. |
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Medium Frame (M) -- Feeder cattle in this grade are thrifty, have slightly large frames, and are slightly tall and long-bodied for their age. Steers would be expected to produce U.S. Choice carcasses (about .5 inch fat at twelfth rib) at live weights of 1,000 to 1,200 pounds. Heifers would be expected to produce choice carcasses at 850 to 1,000 pounds. |
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Small Frame (S) -- Feeder cattle included in this grade are thrifty, have small frames and are shorter-bodied and not as tall as specified as the minimum for the medium grade frame. Steers would be expected to produce U.S. Choice carcasses (about .5 inch fat) at live weights of less than 1,000 pounds. Heifers would be expected to produced Choice carcasses at live weights of less than 850 pounds. |
| Figure 8. Specifications for each thickness score. | |
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Number 1 -- Feeder cattle included in this grade usually show a high proportion of beef breeding. They must be thrifty and slightly thick throughout. They are slightly thick and full in the forearm and gaskin, showing a rounded appearance through the back and loin with moderate width between the legs, both front and rear. Cattle show this thickness with a slightly thin covering of fat; however, cattle eligible for this grade may carry varying degrees of fat. |
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Number 2 -- Feeder cattle which possess minimum qualifications for this grade are thrifty and narrow through the forequarter and the middle part of the rounds. The forearm and gaskin are thin and the back and loin have a sunken appearance. The legs are set close together, both front and rear. Cattle show this narrowness with a slightly thin covering of fat; however, cattle eligible for this grade may carry varying degrees of fat. |
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Number 3 -- Feeder cattle included in this grade are thrifty animals which have less thickness than the minimum requirements specified for the No.2 grade. |
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In addition to nine possible combinations (3 frame size, 3 muscle thickness) of feeder grades for thrifty animals, there is an inferior grade for unthrifty animals. The inferior grade includes feeder cattle that are unthrifty because of mismanagement, disease, parasitism or lack of feed. An animal grading inferior could qualify for a thickness and frame size grade at a later date provided the unthrifty condition was corrected. |
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The United States Department of Agriculture has official grades for feeder cattle based on frame size and muscling. Figures 7 and 8 describe the three frame and muscle classifications. Frame size is related to the weight at which, under normal feeding and management, an animal will produce a carcass of a given grade. Large-frame animals require a longer time in the feedlot to reach a given grade and will weigh more than a small-frame animal would weigh at the same grade. Thickness is the amount of muscling present in proportion to bone and fat. Thicker-muscled animals will have more lean meat. The grades consist of three frame sizes (Large, Medium, and Small) and three thickness or muscling grades (No. 1, No. 2, No. 3).
While few cattle sold in Georgia are officially graded, prices are reported based on estimated grades. The price differences reported on Georgia auctions for various grades provide valuable information into the type of cattle demanded in the market (Table 1). Remember: the grades are based strictly on frame and muscling, not cattle color. Any breed can produce animals in any of the grades.
As the historical price differences point out, the market demands medium- to large-frame feeder calves which are well-muscled. There is little or no price premium for large-frame calves (very-large-frame calves actually draw discounts) and thus no incentive to increase frame size above the medium level. However, the large discounts for small-frame animals suggest that breeding programs to increase frame to the medium score will be profitable even though larger-frame animals will cost more to produce. Current estimates suggest that while small frame animals are fast disappearing from Georgia markets, about 25 percent of marketings are still small frame.
Emphasis on frame size in recent years has tended to overshadow thickness in feeder calves. The percentage of calves sold in Georgia which are less than #1-muscled is estimated at around 30 percent. Breeding programs aimed at improving thickness in calves are likely to be profitable with about $10/cwt. improvements for each muscle-score increase. However, as with many cattle traits, extremes are to be avoided. For example, females with extreme muscling tend to have more calving problems. Try to increase muscling, but not to the point that it causes problems in the cow herd.
Breed can influence prices independent of grade. Crossbred calves normally are in higher demand than straightbred calves, especially straight Hereford, Polled Hereford or Brahman. Calves with a high percentage dairy, Brahman and/or Hereford blood are normally penalized. Hereford and Hereford-cross feeder cattle sold through Georgia tele-auctions from 1983 through 1988 were discounted by $0.92 per hundredweight, Brahman or Brahman-cross feeders were discounted $1.12 per hundredweight and dairy feeders by $12.98 per hundredweight, as compared to other crossbred calves of the same quality. Generally, discounts for these breeds can be minimized if the breed represents no more than 25 percent of the calf.
No matter the type of cattle produced, dehorned, well-managed, clean, healthy-looking calves will always bring top-dollar prices. A Kansas study of more than 140,000 head of feeder calves sold at auctions showed that cattle which were not in good health, had physical impairments or were muddy received large discounts. Muddy calves or calves with dead hair typically were discounted 2 percent, stale animals 7-9 percent and sick animals more than 25 percent. Castrated calves may not bring premiums at auction markets since buyers don't have time to confirm each calf as he comes through the ring, but they will bring premiums through other market methods which allow for seller identification. Specific health practices may also bring premium prices when the market allows for the recognition of such practices. A recent study of prices received through Georgia tele-auctions showed that preconditioned calves (calves vaccinated, weaned and eating from a feeder) brought $1.43/cwt. more than nonpreconditioned calves.
Most cow-calf producers sell lightweight calves at weaning. However, keeping calves through stockering or even feeding may be profitable at times. Through what production stage should you own your calves? The only way to know is to compare the potential returns to the cost of adding weight to your calves.
Two general observations can be made: One, owning calves from fall to late winter or early spring is more profitable than selling at other times of the year due to the seasonal price swings (Figure 1). Two, heifer prices will gain on steer prices at heavier weights. Figure 9 shows that over the past 10 years, heifers sold at heavier weighs during the late winter and early spring have actually averaged more than their lightweight prices during the fall.
Cow-calf producers weaning medium-frame calves less than 500 pounds may want to consider stockering their own calves (especially heifers) through the winter. Calves in the 600-pound range at weaning most likely should go straight into feedlots. Ownership could be maintained by custom feeding the calves in feedlots close to slaughter plants. Some studies have shown complete ownership of calves through the feeding stage to be the most profitable strategy for cow-calf producers. However, returns are highly variable, depending on the stage of the cattle cycle, and risks are high. Maintaining ownership of calves does allow producers of genetically superior cattle to capitalize on more of their genetic investment.
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| Figure 9. |
Georgia cattle producers have several market outlets. No one system fits every producer's needs, so there will continue to be many alternatives. The market outlets available to you will depend on the number and uniformity of cattle you have to sell at one time. This generally is the key ingredient in gaining higher prices through different marketing methods. Figure 10 shows the price premiums that larger uniform groups of the same type cattle brought on Kansas auction markets. The ability to form truckload lots (around 48,000 pounds) of uniform cattle will generally result in even higher prices and open up marketing methods beyond the single-head auction.
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| Figure 10. |
No matter your size herd, you can capture some of these benefits by having a defined, short breeding season so your calves will be uniform in weight. Uniformity in cattle color and grade will be a product of your breeding herd. Uniformity in cattle color and grade will be a product of your breeding herd. Lack of uniformity in cattle color can become a problem if not properly planned in the crossbreeding system.
Some of Georgia's cattle-market alternatives, along with their advantages and disadvantages, are discussed in the following text.
Georgia producers have a long history of using feeder cattle tele-auctions. Since 1977, three organizations in Georgia have sold more than 170,000 head of feeder cattle through tele-auctions. The cattle sold through the tele-auctions have averaged about $2/cwt. more than similar cattle sold at the closest single-head auction at the time.
Sellers and producers of breeding stock have used this method for centuries and continue to use it. Producers with large herds often use this method. Private-treaty selling of cattle is increasing because many buyers prefer to have their calves conditioned to their specifications; therefore, they prefer to buy from sellers whose production practices meet their needs and demands.
Both the feeder cattle futures and option contracts are traded on the Chicago Mercantile exchange in Chicago. By trading a 44,000-pound contract, a cattleman in Georgia can set the price for as much as a year in advance of the time he or she actually sells cattle. The mechanics for using these markets is covered in other Extension publications such as Pricing Georgia Farm Products Through the Futures Market (Bulletin 900) or Commodity Options Price Insurance for the Farmer (Bulletin 921).
Producers who will be selling close to the 44,000-pound contract size at one time may want to investigate these pricing alternatives if they need to reduce the risk of unfavorable price changes. Producers keeping cattle through stockering, and especially those feeding cattle, are encouraged to consider forward pricing alternatives as they are most susceptible to short-term price changes. (Fed-cattle futures and option contracts are available in contract sizes as small as 20,000 pounds.)
Georgia and national cattle and grain market prices, Georgia Farm Bureau Farm Line, Toll-free for Georgia Farm Bureau Members, 1-800-456-1192 after 5 p.m. Touch-tone phone required.
Livestock, Meat and Wool Market News. Weekly summary of national livestock prices, market volume and other information. Agricultural Marketing Service, Livestock & Grain Market News, Room 2623-S, P.O. Box 96456, Washington, DC 20090-6456. $70/year.
Market Watch. Weekly summary of livestock and grain prices, price trends and other market information. University of Georgia Cooperative Extension Service, Available through county Extension office.
Summaries of the reports are available from the Georgia Agricultural Statistics Service, Stephens Federal Bldg., Suite 320, Athens, GA 30613. Phone 404-546-2236.
Actual reports are available from ERS-NASS, P.O. Box 1608, Rockville, MD 20849-1608. Phone toll-free 1-800-999-6779
Cattle Inventory. Numbers and value of all cattle and calves, numbers by classes, expected calf crop, distribution by size groups and states. Released in January and July. $20/yr.
Cattle on Feed. Inventory of cattle on feed by weight and sex. Released monthly for the seven largest cattle feeding states, quarterly for the 13 largest states.
| Table 1. Price that could be paid for a 450-pound feeder steer at alternative fed-cattle selling prices and cost of gain: | ||||
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Expected Fed Cattle Price, 1,100 lbs. |
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Cost of Gain |
$50/cwt |
$60/cwt |
$70/cwt |
$80/cwt |
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$/Cwt |
Break-even Purchase Price, 450 lb. Steer, $/cwt. |
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$30/cwt |
$78.89 |
$103.33 |
$127.78 |
$152.22 |
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$40/cwt |
$64.44 |
$88.89 |
$113.33 |
$137.78 |
|
$50/cwt |
$50.00 |
$74.44 |
$98.89 |
$123.33 |
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$60/cwt |
$35.56 |
$60.00 |
$84.44 |
$108.89 |
| Table 2. Grade Price Differences, Medium-Frame #1 400- to 500-pound Steers, Georgia Auction Markets, 1986-90. | |||
| Price Difference from MF # 1 | Large Frame $/cwt. |
Medium Frame $/cwt. |
Small Frame $/cwt |
| Muscle # 1 | 0 | 0 | -$8.85 |
| Muscle # 2 | -$16.74 | -$10.88 | -$18.25 |
| Source: Market News Georgia Livestock, weekly issues 1986-1990 | |||
Bulletin 1078/Reprinted June, 2001
The University of Georgia and Ft. Valley State College, the U.S. Department of Agriculture and counties of the state cooperating. The Cooperative Extension Service offers educational programs, assistance and materials to all people without regard to race, color, national origin, age, sex or disability.
An Equal Opportunity Employer/Affirmative Action Organization Committed to a Diverse Work Force
Issued in furtherance of Cooperative Extension work, Acts of May 8 and June 30, 1914, The University of Georgia College of Agricultural and Environmental Sciences and the U.S. Department of Agriculture cooperating.
Gale A. Buchanan, Dean and Director